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DeathwingOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 14, 2003 - 12:37 PM
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      Doubleskulls wrote:
Well does anyone know if the Underworld Cup, Pandemonium Cup, CanCon and Galadrieth Goblet allowed star players?

If so I can produce stats separating out the stars from the non-stars.


AFAIK, the first three didn't...dunno about Fanaticon, got a feeling they may have...

But at the end of the day, you're only going to be separating formats that allowed stars, rather than results from rosters containing stars.

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skummyOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 14, 2003 - 01:06 PM



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That's true, but I think he's looking to see the winning percentage of teams in star player environments, so if he's got enough data it shouldn't matter too much.

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DoubleskullsOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 17, 2003 - 03:01 AM
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Its pretty conclusive that CDs & Undead are good without stars, but humans just plummet.

TR 100 Teams without Stars

      Code:
              Pld   W    D    L    W%     D%     L%     For  Ag   Net
Amazons        15   8    0    7    0.53   0.00   0.47   26   23   3   
Chaos          15   6    2    7    0.40   0.13   0.47   19   28   -9   
Chaos Dwarves  11   8    1    2    0.73   0.09   0.18   19   11   8   
Dark Elves     7    3    1    3    0.43   0.14   0.43   12   9    3   
Dwarves        47   15   9    23   0.32   0.19   0.49   64   77   -13 
Goblins        4    2    0    2    0.50   0.00   0.50   4    7    -3   
High Elves     28   10   5    13   0.36   0.18   0.46   54   61   -7   
Humans         18   4    0    14   0.22   0.00   0.78   24   42   -18 
Lizardmen      13   4    2    7    0.31   0.15   0.54   20   27   -7   
Norse          25   10   3    12   0.40   0.12   0.48   33   35   -2   
Orc            37   19   4    14   0.51   0.11   0.38   60   50   10   
Skaven         51   30   3    18   0.59   0.06   0.35   121  87   34   
Undead         15   9    0    6    0.60   0.00   0.40   20   21   -1   
Wood Elves     14   6    2    6    0.43   0.14   0.43   26   24   2   


100 TR Stars

      Code:
              Pld   W    D    L    W%     D%     L%     For  Ag   Net
Amazons        18   8    2    8    0.44   0.11   0.44   25   23   2   
Chaos          18   6    6    6    0.33   0.33   0.33   21   21   0   
Chaos Dwarves  36   21   0    15   0.58   0.00   0.42   56   39   17   
Dark Elves     13   3    4    6    0.23   0.31   0.46   18   21   -3   
Dwarves        30   11   8    11   0.37   0.27   0.37   40   43   -3   
Goblins        11   2    0    9    0.18   0.00   0.82   11   27   -16 
Halflings      15   1    3    11   0.07   0.20   0.73   16   33   -17 
High Elves     6    2    3    1    0.33   0.50   0.17   8    7    1   
Humans         45   23   6    16   0.51   0.13   0.36   77   55   22   
Lizardmen      26   7    6    13   0.27   0.23   0.50   29   47   -18 
Norse          14   4    1    9    0.29   0.07   0.64   16   24   -8   
Orc            74   28   15   31   0.38   0.20   0.42   84   108  -24 
Skaven         52   19   12   21   0.37   0.23   0.40   92   89   3   
Undead         52   30   11   11   0.58   0.21   0.21   77   49   28   
Wood Elves     40   16   11   13   0.40   0.28   0.32   93   77   16   

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LongshotOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 17, 2003 - 03:43 AM



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Chaos dwarves seems better without stars....strange imho

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DoubleskullsOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 17, 2003 - 06:13 AM
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I think we all have to bear in mind that the samples are very small. 11 games with CDs - over 3 tournaments isn't that wide a sample of coaches. Give it another 6 months and we may have worthwhile data to plough through. At the moment goblins are 6th best no stars team!

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DoubleskullsOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 17, 2003 - 08:18 AM
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Anyway back to TR 100 vs TR 110.

This bit shows the improvement in TR 110 against TR 100 tourneys that didn't involve stars (so + means better in TR110). The outstanding fact is (given small sample sizes) that it didn't make much difference to the performance of the Elven teams.

      Code:
               W%      D%     L%
Lizardmen       0.30   0.04   -0.35
Humans          0.11   0.35   -0.45
Norse           0.10  -0.07   -0.03
Wood Elves      0.00  -0.10    0.09
Dwarves        -0.02   0.03   -0.01
High Elves     -0.04   0.08   -0.04
Undead         -0.12   0.30   -0.19
Dark Elves     -0.13   0.01    0.12
Skaven         -0.18   0.16    0.02
Orc            -0.25   0.13    0.12
Chaos Dwarves  -0.30   0.05    0.25 
Amazons        -0.33   0.20    0.13


TR 100 - No stars

Totals for all competitions

      Code:
              Pld   W    D    L    W%     D%     L%     For  Ag   Net
Amazons        15   8    0    7    0.53   0.00   0.47   26   23   3   
Chaos          15   6    2    7    0.40   0.13   0.47   19   28   -9   
Chaos Dwarves  11   8    1    2    0.73   0.09   0.18   19   11   8   
Dark Elves     7    3    1    3    0.43   0.14   0.43   12   9    3   
Dwarves        47   15   9    23   0.32   0.19   0.49   64   77   -13 
Goblins        4    2    0    2    0.50   0.00   0.50   4    7    -3   
High Elves     28   10   5    13   0.36   0.18   0.46   54   61   -7   
Humans         18   4    0    14   0.22   0.00   0.78   24   42   -18 
Lizardmen      13   4    2    7    0.31   0.15   0.54   20   27   -7   
Norse          25   10   3    12   0.40   0.12   0.48   33   35   -2   
Orc            37   19   4    14   0.51   0.11   0.38   60   50   10   
Skaven         51   30   3    18   0.59   0.06   0.35   121  87   34   
Undead         15   9    0    6    0.60   0.00   0.40   20   21   -1   
Wood Elves     14   6    2    6    0.43   0.14   0.43   26   24   2   


TR 110

      Code:
              Pld   W    D    L    W%     D%     L%     For  Ag   Net
Amazons        5    1    1    3    0.20   0.20   0.60   5    8    -3   
Chaos Dwarves  7    3    1    3    0.43   0.14   0.43   13   10   3   
Dark Elves     20   6    3    11   0.30   0.15   0.55   36   45   -9   
Dwarves        27   8    6    13   0.30   0.22   0.48   29   47   -18 
Halflings      8    3    2    3    0.38   0.25   0.38   13   10   3   
High Elves     19   6    5    8    0.32   0.26   0.42   41   34   7   
Humans         43   14   15   14   0.33   0.35   0.33   60   64   -4   
Lizardmen      31   19   6    6    0.61   0.19   0.19   69   39   30   
Norse          20   10   1    9    0.50   0.05   0.45   34   40   -6   
Orc            38   10   9    19   0.26   0.24   0.50   45   63   -18 
Skaven         46   19   10   17   0.41   0.22   0.37   92   83   9   
Undead         33   16   10   7    0.48   0.30   0.21   49   35   14   
Wood Elves     23   10   1    12   0.43   0.04   0.52   40   48   -8   

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BevanOffline
Post subject:   PostPosted: Mar 17, 2003 - 03:25 PM



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      Doubleskulls wrote:
This bit shows the improvement in TR 110 against TR 100 tourneys that didn't involve stars (so + means better in TR110). The outstanding fact is (given small sample sizes) that it didn't make much difference to the performance of the Elven teams.


Thanks. It is clear that TR110 (without stars) gives the most balanced result.

I scored each race with 2 points for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, then worked out the average points per game played for each race. Finally I took the standard deviation (S.D.) for all the races in that table.

TR100 with Stars S.D. = 0.30
TR100 no Stars S.D. = 0.25
TR110 no Stars S.D. = 0.20

The lower the S.D. the more even the distribution (of wins, draws and losses).

So the high S.D. for TR100 with Stars shows that it is biased strongly towards some teams and against others. The low S.D. for TR110 games shows a lower bias towards or against any teams.
 
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